The Trump card, global politics and outcomes for India

(Source – The Hindu, International Edition – Page No. – 8)

Topic : GS 2 – Indian Polity

The world is entering a period of significant change with Donald Trump’s return to power.

Trump’s unique style: Bold, outspoken, and focused on deal-making.
He is a polarizing figure, often seen as a champion of the “common people” against the political elite.

America First Doctrine: Prioritizes U.S. interests over global cooperation.
Rejects multilateralism and international agreements that don’t favor the U.S.
Favors bilateral agreements (e.g., withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement, opposition to the Trans-Pacific Partnership).
Skepticism of Global Institutions:
Critiques organizations like the UN and NATO, believing they benefit other nations at the U.S. expense.
Emphasizes American sovereignty over international governance.

Transactional Politics: Focus on practical outcomes rather than theoretical frameworks.
Protectionism: Increased tariffs and trade wars, leading to economic uncertainty.
Competition with China: Heightened rivalry impacting global stability, especially in the Indo-Pacific.
Global Polarization: Rising nationalism and fractious debates on trade, immigration, and climate policy.
American Isolationism: Reduced U.S. involvement in foreign conflicts may empower rivals like China and Russia.

Mixed Relations: India-U.S. relations have evolved positively, bolstered by the friendship between Prime Minister Modi and Trump.
Countering China: Shared interests in addressing Chinese aggression strengthen strategic ties.
Continued defense cooperation and partnerships in critical technologies are expected.
Role of the Quad: Strengthening of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (U.S., India, Japan, Australia) to counter Chinese influence.
India’s Strategic Priorities:
Focus on border security, military modernization, and counterterrorism.
Economic growth and energy security are central to India’s strategy.
Emphasis on regional stability in South Asia and vigilance against destabilizing influences.

Indo-Pacific Security: Maintaining security in this critical maritime region.
Digital Transformation: Prioritizing advancements in technology, AI, and cybersecurity.
Soft Power: Promoting democratic values, pluralism, and engaging with the diaspora.
Strategic Relationship with Russia: Balancing the growing Sino-Russian alliance by maintaining ties with Russia.

The second Trump presidency signals a shift in global politics, moving towards a more disruptive and polarized world.
Analysts suggest we may be entering a “G-Zero world,” where established norms are replaced by a new, chaotic order.