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  • The Arctic is becoming increasingly militarized, demanding a fresh look from India (New Delhi).
  • The Arctic, once a zone of scientific cooperation and environmental focus, is now a hotspot of military and geopolitical rivalry.
  • Russia is more assertive, China is expanding its Arctic interests, and the US is renewing focus on Greenland.
  • Climate change is a key driver, opening new year-round maritime routes like the Northern Sea Route (NSR), which reshapes global trade and increases regional competition.
  • Current Trend:
    • Countries are reopening military bases, deploying submarines, and asserting control using force in the Arctic.
    • This marks a shift from peaceful cooperation to strategic contestation.
  • Historical Background:
    • The Arctic’s strategic importance is not new, as seen in events like the US proposal to buy Greenland in 2019.
  • Focus:
    • India remains somewhat insulated, prioritizing other regional issues and focusing on climate science and sustainable development through its 2022 Arctic Policy.
    • It draws parallels between the Arctic and the Himalayan “Third Pole.”
  • Limitations:
    • India’s policy largely overlooks the Arctic’s rising geopolitical significance.
    • This cautious stance risks leaving India marginalized as the Arctic becomes a strategic hotspot.
  • On-ground Presence:
    • India runs a research station in Svalbard and holds observer status in the Arctic Council.
    • However, these efforts were designed for cooperation, now challenged by growing tensions.
  • Northern Sea Route (NSR):
    • As the NSR becomes a viable year-round trade corridor, global shipping patterns could shift away from Indian Ocean routes.
  • Connectivity Challenges:
    • Russian and Chinese dominance of Arctic sea routes threatens India’s ambitions to be a connectivity hub in the Indo-Pacific.
  • Complex Geopolitics:
    • The Russia-China partnership in the Arctic combined with China’s naval presence in the Indian Ocean complicates India’s maritime focus to the south.
  • Regional Concerns:
    • Nordic countries are wary of India’s close ties with Russia, especially amid the Ukraine conflict, increasing diplomatic pressure.
  • Diplomatic Efforts Needed:
    • India must balance its strategic autonomy with reassurances to Arctic partners that its involvement will be constructive and mutually beneficial.
  • Institutional Strengthening:
    • Establish dedicated Arctic desks in the foreign and defense ministries and encourage inter-agency coordination.
    • Partner with strategic think tanks for informed policy-making.
  • Strategic Partnerships:
    • Collaborate with Arctic nations on dual-use projects—such as logistics support, maritime surveillance, and satellite monitoring—to build credibility without triggering geopolitical tensions.
  • Governance & Diplomacy:
    • Seek active participation in Arctic governance bodies that regulate infrastructure, shipping, digital standards, and sustainable blue economy initiatives.
    • Engage respectfully with Arctic communities, avoiding extractive or exploitative approaches.
  • India’s current Arctic focus on science and climate diplomacy is valuable but increasingly insufficient.
  • The Arctic is transitioning from cooperation-driven to power-driven, and India risks being sidelined without strategic adaptation.
  • To remain relevant, India must evolve its Arctic policy and engage more purposefully in this critical global region.

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