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  • India has recently seen a minor uptick in COVID-19 cases, partly due to the detection of newer sub-lineages of SARS-CoV-2 in surveillance systems.
  • However, experts argue that misinformation and panic may now pose a greater threat than the virus itself, especially given the high levels of population immunity and improved vaccine coverage.
  • We may have won the viral battle, but the war on misinformation continues.
  • While COVID-19 cases are rising slightly in India and parts of Asia, panic, unverified speculation, and misinformation-driven behaviour threaten to derail rational public health responses.

1. Minor Rise, No New Dangerous Variant

  • The rise is being driven by sub-lineages of the Omicron variant, including JN.1 and BA.2.87, not a new variant of concern.
  • These strains have not shown significant clinical differences compared to previous variants.

2. Surveillance Artifacts, Not Alarming Surge

  • Increased detection is largely due to wastewater surveillance, better RT-PCR testing, and heightened media attention—not widespread community transmission.

1. COVID-19 Seasonality Emerging

  • Like common cold and flu, SARS-CoV-2 is becoming seasonal, with mild spikes in cooler months.
  • Studies suggest seasonal upticks are expected, much like influenza waves.

2. Milder Illness Profile

  • For most, COVID-19 now presents mild or no symptoms, and natural + vaccine-induced immunity keeps hospitalizations and severe cases low.
  • Long-term protection from T-cell immune memory helps reduce severity, even if reinfections occur.

1. Media-Driven Panic

  • Every small surge triggers over-reporting and misinterpretation, leading to panic behaviour, like unnecessary mask mandates or vaccine rushes.

2. Overburdening the System

  • Public fear may result in misuse of hospital resources, while other real emergencies (e.g., TB, NCDs) get ignored.
  • India already sees 9,000 TB cases/day, 900 flu-related deaths/month, and 30,000 deaths/day from other causes—yet these don’t spark equal alarm.
  • Nearly all adults in India have received one or more COVID-19 vaccines, with seroprevalence of over 90% post-Omicron wave.
  • There is no urgent need for additional boosters unless advised for high-risk groups (elderly, immunocompromised).
  • The existing vaccines continue to protect against severe illness.

1. Rational, Proportionate Public Messaging

  • Avoid alarmist headlines; communicate facts through official public health channels.
  • Acknowledge minor surges but focus on preventive hygiene, surveillance, and at-risk population protection.

2. Strengthen Health System Capacity

  • Invest in epidemic preparedness, improve disease surveillance, and ensure multi-disease response platforms.

3. Encourage Flu & COVID Vaccination in High-Risk Groups

  • Promote uptake of age-appropriate, updated vaccines against respiratory viruses, not just COVID-19.
  • Not every viral uptick is a crisis.
  • India must now embrace a science-based, proportionate, and public health-oriented response, resisting the urge to panic at every COVID-19 fluctuation.
  • The virus is evolving. So must our understanding—and our battle now is against misinformation more than microbes.

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